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P J Devereaux a Department of Medicine,
Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, B3K 6A3, Canada, b Department of Family Medicine, Dalhousie University,
Halifax, c Department of Community Health and Epidemiology, Dalhousie
University, Halifax, d College of Pharmacy, Dalhousie University, Halifax
Correspondence to: P J Devereaux philipj{at}mcmaster.ca
Objective:
To determine and compare physicians' and
patients' thresholds for how much reduction in risk of stroke is
necessary and how much risk of excess bleeding is acceptable with
antithrombotic treatment in people with atrial fibrillation.
What is already known on this topic
What this study adds
Design:
Prospective observational study.
Setting:
Tertiary and peripheral referral centres
in Nova Scotia, Canada.
Participants:
63 physicians who were treating patients
with atrial fibrillation and 61 patients at high risk for atrial fibrillation.
Main outcome measures:
Participants underwent a face
to face interview with a probability trade-off tool. Thresholds were
determined for the minimum reduction in risk of stroke necessary and
the maximum increase in risk of excess bleeding acceptable for
treatment with aspirin and warfarin in people with atrial fibrillation.
Results:
The minimum number of strokes that needed to
be prevented in 100 patients over two years for warfarin to be
justified was significantly lower for patients than for physicians (1.8 (SD 1.9) v 2.5 (1.6), P=0.009), whereas for aspirin there was no difference between patients and physicians (1.3 (1.3)
v 1.6 (1.5), P=0.29). The maximum number of excess bleeds
acceptable in 100 patients over two years for use of warfarin and
aspirin was significantly higher for patients than for physicians
(warfarin 17.4 (7.1) v 10.3 (6.1); aspirin 14.7 (8.5)
v 6.7 (6.2); P<0.001 for both comparisons).
Conclusions:
Patients at high risk for atrial
fibrillation placed more value on the avoidance of stroke and less
value on the avoidance of bleeding than did physicians who treat
patients with atrial fibrillation. The views of the individual patient should be considered when decisions are being made about antithrombotic treatment for people with atrial fibrillation.
Several observational studies have shown an apparent underuse of
antithrombotic drugs in patients with atrial fibrillation, despite
evidence of efficacy
There is considerable variability between physicians and patients in
their weighing up of the potential outcomes associated with atrial
fibrillation and its treatment
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