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D A Lawlor Department of Social Medicine,
University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 2PR
Correspondence to: D A Lawlor D.A.Lawlor{at}bristol.ac.uk
Objective:
To examine secular trends and geographical variations in sex differences in mortality from coronary heart disease
and investigate how these relate to distributions in risk factors.
What is already known on this topic
What this study adds
Design:
National and international data were
used to examine secular trends and geographical variations in sex
differences in mortality from coronary heart disease and risk factors.
Setting:
England and Wales, 1921-98; Australia,
France, Japan, Sweden, and the United States, 1947-97; 50 countries,
1992-6.
Data sources:
Office for National Statistics, World
Health Organization, and Food and Agriculture Organization of the
United Nations.
Results:
The 20th century epidemic of coronary heart disease affected only men in most industrialised countries and had a
very rapid onset in England and Wales, which has been examined in
detail. If this male only epidemic had not occurred there would have
been 1.2 million fewer deaths from coronary heart disease in men in
England and Wales over the past 50 years. Secular trends in mean per
capita fat consumption show a similar pattern to secular trends in
coronary heart disease mortality in men. Fat consumption is positively
correlated with coronary heart disease mortality in men
(rs=0.79; 95% confidence interval 0.70 to
0.86) and inversely associated with coronary heart disease mortality in
women (
0.30;
0.49 to
0.08) over this time. Although sex ratios
for mortality from coronary heart disease show a clear period effect,
those for lung cancer show a cohort effect. Sex ratios for stroke
mortality were constant and close to unity for the entire period.
Geographical variations in the sex ratio for coronary heart disease
were associated with mean per capita fat consumption (0.64; 0.44 to
0.78) but were not associated with the sex ratio for smoking.
Conclusion:
Sex differences are largely the result of environmental factors and hence not inevitable. Understanding the
factors that determine sex differences has important implications for
public health, particularly for countries and parts of countries where
the death rates for coronary heart disease are currently increasing.
Mortality for coronary heart disease is greater in men than women in
most industrialised countries
The sex difference in mortality from coronary heart disease varies over
time and between countries in a way that cannot be explained by
endogenous oestrogen
© BMJ 2001
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