BMJ 2000;321:477-479 ( 19 August )

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Effect of 1995 pill scare on rates of venous thromboembolism among women taking combined oral contraceptives: analysis of General Practice Research Database

R D T Farmer, professorT J Williams, research fellowE L Simpson, research officerA L Nightingale, research officer

Pharmacoepidemiology and Public Health, Postgraduate Medical School, University of Surrey, Guildford, Surrey GU2 7DJ

Correspondence to: R D T Farmer r.farmer{at}surrey.ac.uk

Objective: To compare the incidence of venous thromboembolism among women taking combined oral contraceptives before and after the October 1995 pill scare.
Design: Analysis of General Practice Research Database.
Setting: United Kingdom, January 1993 to December 1998.
Subjects: Women aged 15-49 taking combined oral contraceptives.
Main outcome measures: Incidence of venous thromboembolism.
Results: Use of so called "third generation" combined oral contraceptives fell from 53% during January 1993 to October 1995 to 14% during November 1995 to December 1998. There was no significant change in the incidence of venous thromboembolism between the two periods after age was adjusted for (incidence ratio 1.04, 95% confidence interval 0.78 to 1.39).
Conclusions: The findings are not compatible with the assertion that third generation oral contraceptives are associated with a twofold increase in risk of venous thromboembolism compared with older progestogens.



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Relevant Article

Venous thromboembolism rates have not fallen since "pill scare"
BMJ 2000 321: 0. [Full Text] [PDF]

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Rapid Responses:

Read all Rapid Responses

Further analysis would be interesting
Frank Buntinx
bmj.com, 25 Aug 2000 [Full text]
Re: Further analysis would be interesting
John P Heptonstall
bmj.com, 28 Aug 2000 [Full text]
Backsliding into Correlations
Alexander M Walker
bmj.com, 6 Sep 2000 [Full text]
Author's reponse
Richard Farmer
bmj.com, 14 Sep 2000 [Full text]



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