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Lalit Kalra a Department of Medicine, Guy's, King's, and St
Thomas's School of Medicine, London SE5 9PJ, b Department of Medicine for the
Elderly, Bromley Hospitals NHS Trust, Orpington Hospital, Kent BR6 9JU, c Department of Haematology, Bromley Hospitals NHS Trust,
Farnborough Hospital, Orpington, Kent BR6 8ND, d Biostatistics Unit,
Research and Development Department, King's College Hospital, London
SE5 9RS
Correspondence to: L Kalra lalit.kalra{at}kcl.ac.uk
Objective:
To determine whether trial efficacy of
prophylaxis with warfarin for patients with atrial fibrillation at high
risk of stroke translates into effectiveness in clinical practice.
Design:
Two year prospective cohort study.
Setting:
District general hospital.
Participants:
167 patients with atrial fibrillation
and at high stroke risk who were eligible for anticoagulation.
Interventions:
Long term anticoagulation with warfarin
at adjusted doses to maintain an international normalised ratio of 2.0-3.0.
Main outcome measures:
Comparison of patient
characteristics, comorbidity, anticoagulation control, stroke rate, and
haemorrhagic complications with pooled data from five randomised
controlled trials.
Results:
Patients in the study group were seven years older (95% confidence interval 4 to 10) and comprised 33% more women
than patients in the pooled trials. The international normalised ratio
was in the target range for 61% of the time (range 37%-85%), below
for 26% of the time (range 8%-32%), and above for 13% of the time
(range 6%-26%). The time that patients in the study group spent in
the target range was significantly less than in the pooled analysis.
The incidence of stroke in the study group (2.0% per year, 0.7% to
4.4%) was comparable to that of patients receiving warfarin in pooled
studies (1.4%, 0.8% to 2.3%). Per year the incidence of major (1.7%
v 1.6%) and minor (5.4% v 9.2%)
bleeding complications was also similar.
Conclusion:
Rates of stroke and major haemorrhage
after anticoagulation in clinical practice were comparable to those obtained from pooled data from randomised controlled studies for patients with atrial fibrillation at high risk of stroke.
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