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H Smith a Primary Medical Care, University of Southampton,
Aldermoor Health Centre, Southampton SO16 5ST, b Medical Statistics and Computing,
University of Southampton, Southampton General Hospital SO16 6YD, c Department of
Clinical Pharmacology, University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and
Medical School, Dundee DD1 9SY, d Department of Cardiology, Wessex Cardiothoracic Centre,
Southampton General Hospital, e Division of Public Health and Primary Health
Care, University of Oxford, Institute of Health Sciences, Headington,
Oxford OX3 7LF
Correspondence to: H Smith hes{at}soton.ac.uk
Objective:
To investigate the usefulness of measuring plasma concentrations of B type natriuretic peptide in the diagnosis of
left ventricular systolic dysfunction in an unselected group of elderly people.
Design:
Observational study.
Setting:
General practice with four centres in Poole, Dorset.
Participants:
155 elderly patients aged 70 to 84 years.
Main outcome measures:
Diagnostic characteristics of
plasma B type natriuretic peptide measured by radioimmunoassay as a
test for left ventricular systolic dysfunction assessed by echocardiography.
Results:
The median plasma concentration of B type natriuretic peptide was 39.3 pmol/l in patients with left ventricular systolic dysfunction and 15.8 pmol/l in those with normal function. The
proportional area under the receiver operator curve was 0.85. At a
cut-off point of 18.7 pmol/l the test sensitivity was 92% and the
predictive value 18%.
Conclusions:
Plasma concentration of B type
natriuretic peptide could be used effectively as an initial test in a
community screening programme and, possibly, using a low cut-off point, as a means of ruling out left ventricular systolic dysfunction. It is,
however, not a good test to "rule in" the diagnosis, and access to
echocardiography remains essential for general practitioners to
diagnose heart failure early.
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