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Linda S Elting Department of
Medical Specialties, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center,
1515 Holcombe Boulevard Correspondence and reprint requests to: Dr Elting
lelting{at}mdanderson.org
Objective:
To examine the effect of the method of data display on physician investigators' decisions to stop hypothetical clinical trials for an unplanned statistical analysis.
Box 40, Houston, TX 77030-4095, USA
Design:
Prospective, mixed model design with variables between subjects and within subjects (repeated measures).
Setting:
Comprehensive cancer centre.
Participants:
34 physicians, stratified by academic
rank, who were conducting clinical trials.
Interventions:
Participants were shown tables, pie
charts, bar graphs, and icon displays containing hypothetical data from a clinical trial and were asked to decide whether to continue the trial
or stop for an unplanned statistical analysis.
Main outcome measure:
Percentage of accurate decisions
with each type of display.
Results:
Accuracy of decisions was affected by the type of data display and positive or negative framing of the data. More
correct decisions were made with icon displays than with tables, pie
charts, and bar graphs (82% v 68%, 56%, and 43%,
respectively; P=0.03) and when data were negatively framed rather than
positively framed in tables (93% v 47%; P=0.004).
Conclusions:
Clinical investigators' decisions can be
affected by factors unrelated to the actual data. In the design of
clinical trials information systems, careful consideration should be
given to the method by which data are framed and displayed in order to
reduce the impact of these extraneous factors.
Key messages
© BMJ 1999
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