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Judith A Stewart a Department of Public Health Sciences, Guy's,
King's College, and St Thomas's School of Medicine, 5th Floor,
Capital House, London SE1 3QD, b Department of Neurology, St
Thomas's Hospital, London SE1 5EH, c Stroke Unit, St
Thomas's Hospital, London SE1 5EH
Correspondence to: Dr
Wolfe c.wolfe{at}umds.ac.uk
Objective:
To identify ethnic differences in the
incidence of first ever stroke.
Design:
A prospective community stroke register
(1995-6) with multiple notification sources. Pathological
classification of stroke in all cases was based on brain imaging or
necropsy data. Rates were standardised to European and world
populations and adjusted for age, sex, and social class in multivariate analysis.
Setting:
A multi-ethnic population of 234 533 in
south London, of whom 21% are black.
Results:
612 strokes were registered. The crude annual incidence rate was 1.3 strokes per 1000 population per year (95% confidence interval 1.20 to 1.41) and 1.25 per 1000 population per year
(1.15 to 1.35) age adjusted to the standard European population.
Incidence rates adjusted for age and sex were significantly higher in
black compared with white people (P<0.0001), with an incidence rate
ratio of 2.21 (1.77 to 2.76). In multivariable analysis increasing age
(P<0.0001), male sex (P<0.003), black ethnic group (P<0.0001), and
lower social class (P<0.0001) in people aged 35-64 were independently
associated with an increased incidence of stroke.
Conclusions:
Incidence rates of stroke are higher in
the black population; this is not explained by confounders such as social class, age, and sex. Ethnic differences in genetic,
physiological, and behavioural risk factors for stroke require further
elucidation to aid development of effective strategies for stroke
prevention in multi-ethnic communities.
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