BMJ 1997;314:1303 (3 May)
Papers
Is hyperglycaemia an independent predictor of poor outcome after acute stroke? Results of a long term follow up study
Christopher J Weir,
MRC training
fellow,a
Gordon D Murray,
reader in
medical statistics,b
Alexander G Dyker,
lecturer in
stroke medicine,a
Kennedy R Lees,
clinical director,
acute stroke unit aa Acute Stroke Unit, University Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, Western Infirmary, Glasgow G11 6NT,
b Robertson Centre for Biostatistics, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QQ
Correspondence to: Mr Weir
Objective: To determine whether raised plasma
glucose concentration independently influences outcome after acute stroke or is a stress response
reflecting increased stroke severity.
Design: Long term follow up study of patients
admitted to an acute stroke unit.
Setting: Western Infirmary, Glasgow.
Subjects: 811 patients with acute stroke confirmed
by computed tomography. Analysis was restricted to the 750 non-diabetic patients.
Main outcome measures: Survival time and
placement three months after stroke.
Results: 645 patients (86%) had ischaemic
stroke and 105 patients (14%) haemorrhagic stroke. Cox's proportional hazards
modelling with stratification according to Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project categories
identified increased age (relative hazard 1.36 per decade; 95% confidence interval 1.21
to 1.53), haemorrhagic stroke (relative hazard 1.67; 1.22 to 2.28), time to resolution of symptoms
>72 hours (relative hazard 2.15; 1.15 to 4.05), and hyperglycaemia (relative hazard 1.87; 1.43
to 2.45) as predictors of mortality. The effect of glucose concentration on survival was greatest
in the first month.
Conclusions: Plasma glucose concentration above
8 mmol/l after acute stroke predicts a poor prognosis after correcting for age, stroke severity,
and stroke subtype. Raised plasma glucose concentration is therefore unlikely to be solely a
stress response and should arguably be treated actively. A randomised trial is warranted.
|
Key messages
- A plasma glucose concentration above 8 mmol/l after acute stroke predicts poorer
chances of survival and independence
- This effect of raised glucose concentration persists after adjusting for factors known to
affect the outcome of strokenamely, age, stroke type, and stroke severity
- A clinical trial of active control of plasma glucose concentration is warranted
|

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