BMJ 1997;314:1303 (3 May)

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Is hyperglycaemia an independent predictor of poor outcome after acute stroke? Results of a long term follow up study

Christopher J Weir, MRC training fellow,a Gordon D Murray, reader in medical statistics,b Alexander G Dyker, lecturer in stroke medicine,a Kennedy R Lees, clinical director, acute stroke unit a

a Acute Stroke Unit, University Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, Western Infirmary, Glasgow G11 6NT, b Robertson Centre for Biostatistics, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QQ

Correspondence to: Mr Weir

Objective: To determine whether raised plasma glucose concentration independently influences outcome after acute stroke or is a stress response reflecting increased stroke severity.
Design: Long term follow up study of patients admitted to an acute stroke unit.
Setting: Western Infirmary, Glasgow.
Subjects: 811 patients with acute stroke confirmed by computed tomography. Analysis was restricted to the 750 non-diabetic patients.
Main outcome measures: Survival time and placement three months after stroke.
Results: 645 patients (86%) had ischaemic stroke and 105 patients (14%) haemorrhagic stroke. Cox's proportional hazards modelling with stratification according to Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project categories identified increased age (relative hazard 1.36 per decade; 95% confidence interval 1.21 to 1.53), haemorrhagic stroke (relative hazard 1.67; 1.22 to 2.28), time to resolution of symptoms >72 hours (relative hazard 2.15; 1.15 to 4.05), and hyperglycaemia (relative hazard 1.87; 1.43 to 2.45) as predictors of mortality. The effect of glucose concentration on survival was greatest in the first month.
Conclusions: Plasma glucose concentration above 8 mmol/l after acute stroke predicts a poor prognosis after correcting for age, stroke severity, and stroke subtype. Raised plasma glucose concentration is therefore unlikely to be solely a stress response and should arguably be treated actively. A randomised trial is warranted.

Key messages

  • A plasma glucose concentration above 8 mmol/l after acute stroke predicts poorer chances of survival and independence

  • This effect of raised glucose concentration persists after adjusting for factors known to affect the outcome of stroke—namely, age, stroke type, and stroke severity

  • A clinical trial of active control of plasma glucose concentration is warranted


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