BMJ 1997;314:775 (15 March)
Papers
Population based study of rates of multiple pregnancies in denmark, 1980-94
Tine Westergaard,
epidemiologist,a
Jan Wohlfahrt,
statistician,a
Peter Aaby,
professor,a
Mads Melbye,
professor and
head aa Department of Epidemiology Research Danish Epidemiology Science Centre Statens Serum Institut Artillerivej 5 DK-2300 Copenhagen S Denmark
Correspondence and requests for reprints to: Professor Melbye
Objective: To study trends in multiple pregnancies
not explained by changes in maternal age and parity patterns.
Design: Trends in population based figures for
multiple pregnancies in Denmark studied from complete national records on parity history and
vital status.
Population: 497 979 Danish women and 803 019
pregnancies, 1980-94.
Main outcome measures: National rates of multiple
pregnancies, infant mortality, and stillbirths controlled for maternal age and parity. Special
emphasis on primiparous women
30 years of age, who are most likely to undergo fertility
treatment.
Results: The national incidence of multiple
pregnancies increased 1.7-fold during 1980-94, the increase primarily in
1989-94 and almost exclusively in primiparous women aged
30 years, for whom the
adjusted population based twinning rate increased 2.7-fold and the triplet rate
9.1-fold. During 1989-94, the adjusted yearly increase in multiple pregnancies for
these women was 19% (95% confidence interval 16% to 21%) and
in dizygotic twin pregnancies 25% (21% to 28%). The proportion of multiple
births among infant deaths in primiparous women
30 years increased from 11.5% to
26.9% during the study period. The total infant mortality, however, did not increase for
these women because of a simultaneous significant decrease in infant mortality among
singletons.
Conclusions: A relatively small group of women
has drastically changed the overall national rates of multiple pregnancies. The introduction of
new treatments to enhance fertility has probably caused these changes and has also affected the
otherwise decreasing trend in infant mortality. Consequently, the resources, both economical and
otherwise, associated with these treatments go well beyond those invested in specific fertility
enhancing treatments.
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Key messages
- National rates of multiple pregnancies have risen from 1.0% to 1.7% during
1980-94 in Denmark; this rise was most pronounced in recent years
- Multiple pregnancy rates changed particularly among primiparous women
30 years
of age, where the adjusted twinning rate increased threefold and triplet rate ninefold during
1989-94
- The dramatic increase in the twinning rate seems to be restricted to dizygotic twin
pregnancies
- These changes are believed to be associated with the increasing use of treatments to
enhance fertility
|

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