BMJ 1994;309:11-15 (2 July)
Papers
Influence of total cholesterol, high density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triglycerides on risk of cerebrovascular disease: the Copenhagen city heart study
E Lindenstrom,
G Boysen,
J Nyboe
Department of Neurology, 433, Hvidovre Hospital,20Kettegards Alle 30, 2650 Hvidovre, Denmark20Copenhagen City Heart Study, Rigshospitalet, 2200 Copenhagen N Correspondecne to: Dr Lindenstrom.
Abstract
Objective : To estimate the influence of plasma total cholesterol, high density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triglycerides on risk of cerebrovascular disease.
Design : The Copenhagen city heart study is a prospective observational survey with two cardiovascular examinations at five year intervals. Non- fasting plasma lipids were measured in participants once at each examination, along with other variables. The Cox regression model was used to establish the effect of the factors recorded on cerebrovascular events of mostly, but not exclusively, ischaemic origin. Subjects - 19 698 women and men at least 20 years old, randomly selected after age stratification from an area of central Copenhagen.
Main outcome measures : Initial cases of stroke and transient ischaemic attack recorded from hospital records and death certificates from 1976 through 1988.
Results : 660 non-haemorrhagic and 33 haemorrhagic events were recorded. Total cholesterol was positively associated with risk of non-haemorrhagic events, but only for levels >8 mmol/l, correspaonding to the upper 5% of the distribution in the study population. For lower plasma cholesterol values the relative risk remained nearly constant. Plasma triglyceride concentration was significantly, positively associated with risk of non- haemorrhagic events. The relative risk corresponding to an increase of 1 mmol/l was 1.12 (95% confidence interval 1.07 to 1.16). There was a negative, log linear association between high density lipoprotein cholesterol and risk of non-haemorrhagic events (0.53 (0.34 to 0.83)). There was no indication that the20effects of plasma lipids were different in women and men.
Conclusions : The pattern of the association between plasma cholesterol and risk of ischaemic cerebrovascular disease was not log linear, and the increased risk was confined to the upper 5% of the cholesterol distribution. Further studies should concentrate on the association between plasma cholesterol and varified haemorrhagic stroke.
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Public health implications
- Public health implications
- This study shows that the risk of ischaemic stroke is increased only with plasma cholesterol concentrations >8 mmol/l
- Trials of cholesterol lowering have not yet shown significant reduction of the risk of ischaemic stroke
- The association between very high total cholesterol and stroke does not in itself justify dietary advice for the normal population
- Trials of dietary modification should focus on triglyceride and high density lipoprotein cholesterol and evaluate the risk of ischaemic as well as haemorrhagic stroke
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