BMJ  2005;330:1370 (11 June), doi:10.1136/bmj.330.7504.1370

Primary care

Differences in outcomes of patients with congestive heart failure prescribed celecoxib, rofecoxib, or non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs: population based study

Marie Hudson, post doctoral fellow in epidemiology1, Hugues Richard, biostatistician1, Louise Pilote, associate professor1

1 Division of Clinical Epidemiology, Research Institute of McGill University Health Center, 1650 Cedar Avenue, Montreal, QC, H3G 1A4 Canada

Correspondence to: L Pilote louise.pilote{at}mcgill.ca

Abstract

Objectives To compare the risk of death and recurrent congestive heart failure in elderly patients prescribed celecoxib, rofecoxib, or non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) and to determine whether there are class differences between celecoxib and rofecoxib.

Design Population based retrospective cohort study.

Setting Databases of hospital discharge summaries and prescription drug claims in Quebec.

Participants 2256 patients aged 66 or more prescribed celecoxib, rofecoxib, or a NSAID after an index admission for congestive heart failure between April 2000 and March 2002.

Main outcome measures Time to all cause death and recurrent congestive heart failure, combined and separately.

Results The risk of death and recurrent congestive heart failure combined was higher in patients prescribed NSAIDs or rofexocib than in those prescribed celecoxib (hazard ratio 1.26, 95% confidence interval 1.00 to 1.57 and 1.27, 1.09 to 1.49, respectively). The findings were similar when the outcomes were assessed separately. In pairwise analysis, the risks of death and recurrent congestive heart failure, combined and separate, were similar between patients prescribed NSAIDs and rofecoxib.

Conclusions Celecoxib seems safer than rofecoxib and NSAIDs in elderly patients with congestive heart failure. Differences were found among cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitors.

Introduction

The cardiovascular effects of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) and cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitors have been the subject of much controversy. Rofecoxib has been consistently associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction.1 2-5 Although most of the evidence to date shows no association between celecoxib and an increased risk of myocardial infarction,3 6-9 a meta-analysis2 and a recent study10 have cast doubt. Whether cyclo-oxygenas-2 inhibitors have similar or different cardiovascular toxicities remains debatable.11 12

Both NSAIDs and cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitors have renovascular side effects, all of which can exacerbate heart failure.13-16 The cyclo-oxygenase-2 enzyme, however, is induced in the myocardium of the failing heart and is associated with myocardial scarring.17 18 Selective cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitors can therefore be cardioprotective at the level of the failing myocardium.

Clinically, NSAIDs have been associated with the onset and exacerbation of congestive heart failure.19-21 Clinical information on the association between cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitors and heart failure is however, scarce.22-25

Elderly patients are likely to be given cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitors for pain and inflammation as these drugs are thought to have fewer gastrointestinal side effects than NSAIDs.26 27 Yet the risk of cardiovascular disease increases with age. We assessed the effects of celecoxib, rofecoxib, and NSAIDs on the risk of death and recurrent congestive heart failure in elderly patients with known congestive heart failure and we determined whether there are class differences between celecoxib and rofecoxib.

Methods

Our cohort was derived from the database of discharge summaries for Quebec. Patients were eligible for inclusion if they were discharged with a diagnosis of congestive heart failure (code 428.x; international classification of diseases, 9th revision) between 1 April 2000 and 31 March 2002 (the index admission), they had been prescribed celecoxib, rofecoxib, or a NSAID during that time, and they were aged 66 or more at the time of discharge from the index admission. Celecoxib became available on the market in late 1999 and rofecoxib on 1 April 2000. We chose the starting date of 1 April 2000 to ensure the availability of both drugs. The age cut-off point ensured that all participants had at least one full year of observation in the database before entry into the study.

We used the Quebec database for claims for prescription drugs claims to determine exposure to drugs. This database contains information on all drug prescriptions for outpatients aged 65 or more.

The study groups consisted of patients exclusively given one or more prescriptions for celecoxib, rofecoxib, or any non-selective NSAID after the index admission. Patients in the NSAID group could have been dispensed more than one different non-selective NSAID during the study.

The primary outcome was the combined outcome of time to all cause death or to recurrent congestive heart failure. The secondary outcomes were time to all cause death and time to recurrent congestive heart failure assessed separately.

Patients were followed from the time of their first prescription to death, recurrent congestive heart failure, or end of the study (31 December 2002).

Statistical analysis
We generated descriptive statistics to compare patient characteristics according to exposure groups. To compare time to outcome we carried out Cox proportional hazards modelling. We adjusted the models for possible confounders, including age, sex, comorbidities, other drugs prescribed before the first prescription for a study drug, characteristics of the treating doctor or hospital, length of stay, year of exposure, acute myocardial infarction in the previous three years, time to first prescription, and episodes of congestive heart failure after the index admission but before the first prescription.



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Fig 1 Kaplan-Meier analysis of time to recurrent congestive heart failure or death in patients prescribed celecoxib, rofecoxib, or non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs

 

Results

We identified 2256 patients admitted with a diagnosis of congestive heart failure between 1 April 2000 and 31 March 2002 (the index admission) who were given one or more prescriptions for a coxib or NSAID during that time. Of these, 717 (31.8%) received celecoxib, 869 (38.5%) received rofecoxib, and 280 (12.4%) received NSAIDs. Patient characteristics at the index date and prescribing patterns were well balanced between the groups (see bmj.com). Overall, 492 patients had recurrent congestive heart failure and 473 died (table).


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Unadjusted rates of study events in patients with congestive heart failure who were prescribed celecoxib, rofecoxib, or non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs)

 

The most commonly used NSAIDs were diclofenac (4.3%), naproxen (2.6%), indomethacin (1.8%), and ibuprofen (1.0%).

Significantly more patients prescribed celecoxib survived or remained free of recurrent congestive heart failure than those prescribed rofecoxib or NSAIDs (fig 1). The point of divergence occurred early and persisted over time. The difference in survival was persistently significant when assessed as a single end point (see bmj.com), and the trend was towards those prescribed celecoxib remaining free of recurrent congestive heart failure compared with those prescribed rofecoxib or NSAIDs (see bmj.com).

In adjusted analysis, we found a significantly higher risk of death or recurrent congestive heart failure in patients prescribed NSAIDs or rofecoxib than in those prescribed celecoxib (hazard ratio 1.26, 95% confidence interval 1.00 to 1.57 and 1.27, 1.09 to 1.49, respectively; fig 2). These increased risks persisted when death was assessed as a separate outcome (NSAIDs, 1.54, 1.17 to 2.04; rofecoxib, 1.44, 1.17 to 1.78). When recurrent congestive heart failure was assessed separately, the trend was towards an increase in risk (NSAIDs, 1.21, 0.92 to 1.60; rofecoxib, 1.17, 0.96 to 1.42).



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Fig 2 Adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for death and recurrent congestive heart failure, combined and alone, according to exposure group

 
In pairwise analysis, the risk of death and recurrent congestive heart failure, combined and separate, was similar between patients prescribed NSAIDs and those prescribed rofecoxib (combined 0.99, 0.80 to 1.22, death only 1.07, 0.82 to 1.39, recurrent congestive heart failure only 1.04, 0.80 to 1.36; fig 2).

Discussion

The risk of death and recurrent congestive heart failure was higher in elderly patients prescribed non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) or rofecoxib than in those prescribed celecoxib. In pairwise analysis, we found similar risks of death and recurrent congestive heart failure in patients prescribed rofecoxib or NSAIDs.

An association between cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitors and congestive heart failure is emerging, but there seem to be intraclass differences. Data from a small prospective database for disease management suggests that patients who are prescribed a cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitor on discharge are more likely to be readmitted for congestive heart failure within a year compared with those not prescribed a cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitor (32.5% versus 22.0%, respectively, P < 0.05).28 In that study, the risk of recurrent congestive heart failure differed between rofecoxib and celecoxib. In a drug safety database, rofecoxib was associated with significantly more reports of cardiac failure than celecoxib.29 Finally, in a recent population based study of cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitors and congestive heart failure, users of rofecoxib and NSAIDs, but not celecoxib, had a higher risk of admission for congestive heart failure than controls not receiving NSAIDs.30 In pairwise comparisons, they found a significantly higher risk of admission for congestive heart failure in patients prescribed rofecoxib than in those prescribed celecoxib or NSAIDs (adjusted rate ratio 1.8, 95% confidence interval 1.4 to 2.4 and 1.5, 1.1 to 2.1).

Our findings are consistent with these data and are unique because we studied high risk patients with known congestive heart failure and we found a lower risk of death, assessed alone and in combination with recurrent congestive heart failure, in patients prescribed celecoxib compared with those prescribed NSAIDs or rofecoxib. Celecoxib may be safer than NSAIDs in high risk patients and there may be important differences between cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitors. Differences in selectivity31 may, at least in part, explain the different results observed in patients prescribed celecoxib compared with those prescribed rofecoxib.

Our study has several limitations. Firstly, patients who were classified as not taking drugs may have been using over the counter aminosalicylic acid or ibuprofen. Such non-differential misclassification would, however, tend to bias the results towards the null. Secondly, by starting the study on the date that rofecoxib became available (1 April 2000), we included only incident users of rofecoxib but incident and prevalent users of celecoxib. We carried out a sensitivity analysis in which we included only new users of celecoxib (and excluded those with a prescription before 1 April 2000). Time to all cause death or recurrent congestive heart failure was similar to that reported in the main analysis (hazard ratio 1.27, 95% confidence interval 1.07 to 1.52 versus 1.27, 1.09 to 1.49).

No head to head comparisons in randomised trials are available to determine the relative risks between NSAIDs and cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitors. We used an observational design and compared a cohort of patients with congestive heart failure who used NSAIDs or cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitors, and we found that celecoxib was associated with a lower risk of death and recurrent congestive heart failure than were NSAIDs and rofecoxib. Since we had no unexposed group, we were unable to estimate whether, and by how much, celecoxib increases the risk of recurrent congestive heart failure and death compared with non-users of NSAIDs and cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitors.


What is already known on this topic

Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) increase the risk of congestive heart failure

Little is known about the safety of cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitors in patients with congestive heart failure

What this study adds

Celecoxib seems to be a safer alternative to rofecoxib and NSAIDs in elderly patients with congestive heart failure

Class differences seem to exist between NSAIDs and cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitors and between cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitors



{elps.f1}This is the abridged version; the full version is on bmj.com

Editorial by Jüni et al and p 1366

Contributors: See bmj.com

Funding: MH and LP are funded by the Canadian Institutes of Health Research. LP is a William Dawson professor of medicine at McGill University. This study was funded by a grant from the Canadian Institutes of Health Research (No 122882).

Competing interests: None declared.

Ethical approval: Not required.

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(Accepted 29 April 2005)


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