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BMJ 2005;330:874 (16 April), doi:10.1136/bmj.38369.459988.8F (published 18 February 2005)
Clive Ballard, professor of age related diseases1, Marisa Margallo-Lana, senior lecturer in old age psychiatry1, Edmund Juszczak, senior medical statistician2, Simon Douglas, research nurse3, Alan Swann, consultant in old age psychiatry3, Alan Thomas, consultant in old age psychiatry3, John O'Brien, professor of old age psychiatry3, Anna Everratt, psychology assistant3, Stuart Sadler, psychology assistant3, Clare Maddison, psychology assistant3, Lesley Lee, research nurse3, Carol Bannister, consultant in old age psychiatry4, Ruth Elvish, psychology assistant3, Robin Jacoby, professor of old age psychiatry5
1 Institute of Psychiatry, King's College, London SE5 8AF, 2 Centre for Statistics in Medicine, Oxford University, Oxford OX3 7LF, 3 University of Newcastle, Institute of Ageing, Newcastle General Hospital, Newcastle upon Tyne NE4 4BE, 4 Oxfordshire Mental Healthcare NHS Trust, Fiennes Unit, Horton Hospital, Banbury OX16 9BF, 5 Oxford University Department of Psychiatry, Warneford Hospital, Oxford OX3 7JX
Correspondence to: R Jacoby Robin.Jacoby{at}psych.ox.ac.uk
Design Randomised double blind (clinician, patient, outcomes assessor) placebo controlled trial.
Setting Care facilities in the north east of England.
Participants 93 patients with Alzheimer's disease, dementia, and clinically significant agitation.
Intervention Atypical antipsychotic (quetiapine), cholinesterase inhibitor (rivastigmine), or placebo (double dummy).
Main outcome measures Agitation (Cohen-Mansfield agitation inventory) and cognition (severe impairment battery) at baseline and at six weeks and 26 weeks. The primary outcome was agitation inventory at six weeks.
Results 31 patients were randomised to each group, and 80 (86%) started treatment (25 rivastigmine, 26 quetiapine, 29 placebo), of whom 71 (89%) tolerated the maximum protocol dose (22 rivastigmine, 23 quetiapine, 26 placebo). Compared with placebo, neither group showed significant differences in improvement on the agitation inventory either at six weeks or 26 weeks. Fifty six patients scored > 10 on the severe impairment battery at baseline, 46 (82%) of whom were included in the analysis at six week follow up (14 rivastigmine, 14 quetiapine, 18 placebo). For quetiapine the change in severe impairment battery score from baseline was estimated as an average of 14.6 points (95% confidence interval 25.3 to 4.0) lower (that is, worse) than in the placebo group at six weeks (P = 0.009) and 15.4 points (27.0 to 3.8) lower at 26 weeks (P = 0.01). The corresponding changes with rivastigmine were 3.5 points (13.1 to 6.2) lower at six weeks (P = 0.5) and 7.5 points (21.0 to 6.0) lower at 26 weeks (P = 0.3).
Conclusions Neither quetiapine nor rivastigmine is effective in the treatment of agitation in people with dementia in institutional care. Compared with placebo, quetiapine is associated with significantly greater cognitive decline.
One observational study reported a doubling in the rate of cognitive decline in patients with dementia taking typical antipsychotics,6 although the impact on cognition of newer atypical antipsychotics, was not determined.
We compared quetiapine and rivastigmine with placebo in patients with dementia and agitation in nursing homes in a randomised double blind placebo controlled trial over 26 weeks. Our primary objective was to determine whether either drug was better than placebo for agitation. We also evaluated whether there was a significant difference between the individual active treatments and placebo with respect to cognitive change.
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Evaluations
We assessed all patients before the start of the pharmacological intervention (baseline) and after six and 26 weeks. At 12 weeks participants underwent an additional severe impairment battery8 because people with behavioural problems commonly refuse cognitive assessment at least once. Assessors were blind to treatment allocation.
Outcomes
Our primary outcome measure was a validated standardised evaluation of agitation at six weeks.7 We used the severe impairment battery for cognitive assessment.8 General assessments included electrocardiography, full blood count, and evaluation of severity of dementia (functional assessment staging) at baseline.
Randomisation
We randomly assigned patients in equal numbers to active quetiapine plus placebo rivastigmine; placebo quetiapine plus active rivastigmine; or placebo rivastigmine plus placebo quetiapine (double dummy).
We aimed to attain doses of 25-50 mg quetiapine twice a day and 3-6 mg rivastigmine twice a day by week 12, and doses of 50 mg quetiapine twice a day or
9 mg rivastigmine daily between week 12 and week 26.
Sample size and analysis
We calculated that we needed a sample size of 23 in each group, assuming similar efficacy of active treatments. Allowing for a dropout rate of 25%, we needed 31 patients per treatment group. (See bmj.com for details of participant flow.)
We summarised demographic factors and clinical characteristics. We restricted comparative analysis to those patients who had at least one assessment after randomisation; a modified intention to treat analysis. For the agitation inventory score, for everyone who completed the six week evaluation but dropped out thereafter we carried forward the last total score. For the severe impairment battery, we carried forward the last total score from either the six week or supplementary three month assessment.
For the primary analysis, we summarised the change in the agitation inventory score from baseline to six weeks using the mean (SD). To establish the magnitude and direction of the treatment effect, we used analysis of covariance to compare pairs of treatment groups, giving the mean difference (in change in agitation inventory from baseline to six weeks) between groups (plus 95% confidence intervals) with adjustment for baseline value.
We made no formal adjustment for multiple significance testing. We report our main objective of active treatment versus placebo but also active treatment group comparisons for completeness given the dearth of published data. We also report results at the 26 week follow up to show whether the effects are temporary or sustained. See bmj.com for full details.
Demographic characteristics and stage of dementia were similar across the three groups, but there was a slight imbalance on severe impairment battery at baseline (10 point difference in favour of patients in the placebo group) (see bmj.com).
Agitation inventory
There were no significant differences between treatments in the change in agitation inventory scores between baseline and six weeks and baseline and 26 weeks (table).
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Severe impairment battery
Fifty six of the 93 (60%) participants scored > 10 on the severe impairment battery at baseline (20 rivastigmine, 17 quetiapine, 19 placebo). Forty six (82%) of these patients also completed it at six weeks. For these 46 patients, the mean (SD) scores at baseline were 71.6 (24.6) placebo; 66.6 (21.3) quetiapine and 65.1 (22.6) rivastigmine (2.6, 7.2, and 6.3 points higher, respectively, than the scores at six weeks). This was not explained by those with a poorer cognitive function being more likely to drop out and baseline figures were almost identical for participants who did or did not complete the agitation inventory at six weeks.
Patients who received quetiapine experienced, on average, an estimated mean difference in change in severe impairment battery score from baseline of 14.6 points (95% confidence interval 25.3 to 4.0) compared with the placebo treated group at six weeks; indicating a significantly greater deterioration in the quetiapine group (table and figure). A similar magnitude of difference was evident at 26 weeks. In contrast, the corresponding comparison of change in score from baseline for rivastigmine with placebo was an average of 3.5 points lower at six weeks and 7.5 points lower at 26 weeks.
Even though quetiapine has a relatively more favourable pharmacological profile than other antipsychotic agents, it was still associated with a detrimental impact on cognition. One postulated mechanism is suppression of brain derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF), accelerating the accumulation of the core pathological substrates of Alzheimer's disease.9 Another possible mechanism involves antimuscarinic properties.10 Preliminary reports indicate potential cognitive benefits of quetiapine in people with schizophrenia,11 although the mechanisms of cognitive impairment in the two conditions are completely different.
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Patients in the rivastigmine group did not experience any significant improvement in agitation nor did they seem to experience a significant decline in cognitive function compared with patients in the placebo group.
Strengths and limitations
The improvements seen in the placebo group are consistent with most previous reports2 and are probably explained by a Hawthorne effectresidents in an unstimulating environment respond positively to the increased interaction as part of the study procedures. Though our study is limited because of the modest sample size, multiple evaluations, and the substantial proportion of patients who were unable to complete the severe impairment battery, the possible impact of quetiapine on cognition is clinically important.
We did not adjust for multiple significance testing because we considered the six week results would be the most important because of the anticipated dropout rate; comparison of treatment versus placebo was of primary importance, hence the interpretation of the significant result; and comparison of active treatments was always going to be of secondary importance, hence the caution with the six week result for rivastigmine versus quetiapine. When interpreting the cognitive function result for quetiapine compared with placebo, it can be argued that, in the light of a lack of evidence of efficacy, even a suggestion of a decline in what was a secondary outcome is noteworthy. As one could argue that it is not necessary to show significant evidence of harm under these particular circumstances, a formal adjustment was not deemed necessary.
Conclusion
Quetiapine and rivastigmine seemed of no benefit in patients with dementia and agitation in institutional care, and quetiapine was associated with greater cognitive decline than placebo. Our results suggest that quetiapine should not be used in people with dementia and highlight concerns regarding the long term use of antipsychotics in these patients.
Contributors: See bmj.com Funding: The study was funded largely from general donations to C Ballard's research programme and profits from previously completed commercially funded clinical trials, with additional support from the Alzheimer's Research Trust. Competing interests: C Ballard has received honorariums and research donations to support his general research programme from Astra Zeneca and Novartis.
Ethical approval: The study was approved by a properly constituted local research ethics committee.
This is the abridged version of an article that was posted on bmj.com on 18 February 2005: http://bmj.com/cgi/doi/10.1136/bmj.38369.459988.8F
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