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BMJ 2005;330:818 (9 April), doi:10.1136/bmj.38376.401701.8F (published 14 March 2005)
Bo Abrahamsen, consultant1, Ivan Andersen, staff specialist2, Susanne S Christensen, registrar1, Jonna Skov Madsen, staff specialist3, Kim Brixen, consultant1
1 Department of Endocrinology, Odense University Hospital, DK-5000 Odense C, Denmark, 2 Department of Haematology, Odense University Hospital, 3 Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Odense University Hospital
Correspondence to: B Abrahamsen b.abrahamsen{at}dadlnet.dk
Design Retrospective, cross sectional, observational study.
Setting Referral centre for osteoporosis in a university hospital, Denmark.
Participants 799 people (685 women) aged 19 to 94 years newly referred with suspected osteoporosis.
Main outcome measures Proportion of patients fulfilling the Nordic Myeloma Study Group definition for target condition and proportion of patients with other important haematological conditions.
Results 4.9% (18 of 366) of patients with osteoporosis and 2.2% (9 of 408) of patients without osteoporosis had M components in serum (
2 = 3.66, P = 0.04). Multiple myeloma was diagnosed in three patients with osteoporosis (absolute risk 0.8%, 95% confidence interval 0.11% to 1.7%). The relative risk of multiple myeloma in patients presenting with osteoporosis was 75 (10 to 160). As a diagnostic test for multiple myeloma in patients with osteoporosis, M component in serum had a specificity of 95.0% and a positive predictive value of 17.6%. 122 blood electrophoreses were carried out for each case of multiple myeloma diagnosed. All patients with multiple myeloma had a history of fragility fractures. If lymphoma was included as a target condition, the specificity increased to 95.3% and the positive predictive value increased to 23.5%. Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance was diagnosed in 13 (3.6%) participants with osteoporosis and in eight (2.0%) participants with normal bone mineral density or osteopenia.
Conclusions Patients presenting with osteoporosis should be tested for M component in serum, as 1 in 20 patients with newly diagnosed osteoporosis had multiple myeloma or monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance.
National guidelines in Denmark do not advocate the routine measurement of monoclonal bands (M component) in the serum or urine of patients presenting with osteoporosis. We determined the prevalence of multiple myeloma and monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance in unselected patients newly referred with osteoporosis to assess whether measurement of M component should form part of the investigation of patients with suspected osteoporosis.
Serum M component was measured using cellulose acetate electrophoresis. Urine tests were not carried out. Participants with M component underwent follow-up investigations. Multiple myeloma was diagnosed according to the Nordic Myeloma Study Group definition.1 People were considered to have monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance if malignant monoclonal gammopathies were excluded.
We calculated confidence intervals using the normal approximation to the binary distribution, and we compared proportions using
2 tests.
2 = 3.66, P = 0.04; table). Although erythrocyte sedimentation rate was not routinely assessed, six of eight patients with M component had an erythrocyte sedimentation rate of 20 or lower.
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Multiple myeloma was diagnosed in three patients with osteoporosis (absolute risk 0.8%, 95% confidence interval 0.11% to 1.7%; see bmj.com) but in no participants without osteoporosis.
We diagnosed monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance in 13 (3.6%; see bmj.com) of the participants with osteoporosis and eight (2.0%) of the participants with normal bone mineral density or osteopenia. In patients with osteoporosis, we found no difference in bone mineral density or age between those with multiple myeloma or monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance and those with no M component. The three patients with multiple myeloma had a history of fragility fractures, compared with 28% (95% confidence interval 5% to 70%) in patients with osteoporosis with coexisting monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance and 36% (30% to 43%) in patients with osteoporosis but no M component.
Compared with the background population, the relative risk of multiple myeloma in patients presenting with osteoporosis was 75 (95% confidence interval 10 to 160). As a diagnostic test for multiple myeloma in patients with osteoporosis, M component in serum had a specificity of 95.0% and a positive predictive value of 17.6%. In practical terms, 122 blood electrophoreses were carried out for each case of multiple myeloma diagnosed. If lymphoma was included as a target condition, the specificity increased to 95.3% and the positive predictive value increased to 23.5%.
Our conservative estimates suggest that an osteoporosis clinic caring for 5000 new patients a year may fail to identify 20 cases of multiple myeloma yearly, even with a young patient base. In addition, 75 to 185 cases of monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance may be missed. Despite this, few guidelines and recommendations include routine screening for multiple myeloma or monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance in patients with osteoporosis, beyond measuring the erythrocyte sedimentation rate. In accordance with the low frequency in the general population,2 we did not observe any cases of multiple myeloma among the 408 people with normal bone mineral density or osteopenia.
Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance and even multiple myeloma do not require specific treatment in all elderly patients. When multiple myeloma occurs in younger patients, aggressive treatment prolongs survival.3 Regardless of age, patients with multiple myeloma benefit from early diagnosis. Some elderly patients with multiple myeloma have major comorbidity, which reduces their ability to tolerate some forms of chemotherapy,4-6 but specialist attention is warranted even in this group.7 Similarly, although the general prognosis of monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance is good, affected patients must also be followed because of the possibility of malignant transformation and complications.8 Although an M component was more common in patients with osteoporosis compared with people with normal bone mineral density or osteopenia, stratifying for bone mineral density within the group with osteoporosis did not provide additional information. The three patients with multiple myeloma, however, all had evidence of established osteoporosis, suggesting that measurement of M component may be informative in this group.
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Referral patterns vary between osteoporosis clinics, depending on guidelines and the availability of bone densitometry. In our clinic, 46% of referred patients fulfilled the World Health Organization definition of osteoporosis. This agrees closely with the 41% to 53%9 10 reported by clinics in the United Kingdom and United States.11 The most important limitation of our study was that we could not calculate the false negative rate. To do this we would have had to rule out non-secretory myeloma and light chain disease by carrying out skeletal x rays and marrow biopsies in all patients with osteoporosis referred to our clinic. It is possible, however, to estimate the number of false negative tests by extrapolating from Mayo clinic data on the distribution of multiple myeloma subtypes at diagnosis.
The number of patients with multiple myeloma in our study is a conservative estimate, because we did not assess urine Bence-Jones protein. Light chain disease, however, is less common and the expense would be greater. Thus, about 600 urine analyses would be needed to diagnose a single case of light chain multiple myeloma in patients with osteoporosis if 20%12 of cases of secretory multiple myeloma are of the light chain variant.
We know from other studies that normal bone mineral density does not rule out multiple myeloma,13 14 but owing to the low prevalence of the disease in referred patients without osteoporosis, we cannot make a strong case for vigilance for M component in the absence of osteoporosis.
This is the abridged version of an article that was posted on bmj.com on 14 March 2005: http://bmj.com/cgi/doi/10.1136/bmj.38376.401701.8F Funding: BA is the recipient of a clinical research grant from the Novo Nordisk Foundation.
Competing interests: None declared.
Ethical approval: Not required.
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