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BMJ 2004;328:1110 (8 May), doi:10.1136/bmj.38043.414074.EE (published 23 April 2004)
F A McAlister, associate professor1, N F Murphy, research fellow2, C R Simpson, research fellow3, S Stewart, professor4, K MacIntyre, specialist registrar5, M Kirkpatrick, information analyst6, J Chalmers, consultant in public health medicine6, A Redpath, statistician6, S Capewell, professor of clinical epidemiology7, J J V McMurray, professor2
1 Department of Medicine, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada T6G 2R7, 2 Department of Cardiology, Western Infirmary, Glasgow G12 8QQ, 3 Department of General Practice and Primary Care, University of Aberdeen AB25 2AY, 4 Division of Health Sciences, University of South Australia, Adelaide, 5000, Australia, 5 Department of Public Health, University of Glasgow G12 8RZ, 6 Information and Statistics Division, Edinburgh EH5 3SQ, 7 Department of Public Health, University of Liverpool L69 3GB
Correspondence to: J J V McMurray j.mcmurray{at}bio.gla.ac.uk
Design Population based study.
Setting 53 general practices (307 741 patients) participating in the Scottish continuous morbidity recording project between 1April 1999 and 31 March 2000.
Participants 2186 adults with heart failure.
Main outcome measures Comorbid diagnoses, frequency of visits to general practitioner, and prescribed drugs.
Results 2186 patients with heart failure were seen (prevalence 7.1 per 1000 population, incidence 2.0 per 1000 population). The age and sex standardised incidence of heart failure increased with greater socioeconomic deprivation, from 1.8 per 1000 population in the most affluent stratum to 2.6 per 1000 population in the most deprived stratum (odds ratio 1.44, P = 0.0003). On average, patients were seen 2.4 times yearly, but follow up rates were less frequent with increasing socioeconomic deprivation (from 2.6 yearly in the most affluent subgroup to 2.0 yearly in the most deprived subgroup, P = 0.00009). Overall, 812 (80.6%) patients were prescribed diuretics, 396 (39.3%) angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors, 216 (21.4%)
blockers, 208 (20.7%) digoxin, and 86 (8.5%) spironolactone. The wide discrepancies in prescribing between different general practices disappeared after adjustment for patient age and sex. Prescribing patterns did not vary by deprivation categories on univariate or multivariate analyses.
Conclusions Compared with affluent patients, socioeconomically deprived patients were 44% more likely to develop heart failure but 23% less likely to see their general practitioner on an ongoing basis. Prescribed treatment did not differ across socioeconomic gradients.
We examined whether there are socioeconomic gradients in the incidence, prevalence, and follow up of patients with heart failure. We also examined the influence of socioeconomic deprivation on general practitioners' prescribing patterns.
Using data from 1 April 1999 to 31 March 2000, we examined the prevalence and contacts (number of consultations for that diagnosis in that year) for heart failure. We also estimated the incidence of heart failure from the number of patients with a diagnosis of heart failure entered by their general practitioner with the modifier of "first." The table shows the crude rates and the age and sex standardised rates.
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Prescription data were obtained from a representative subset (22 practices, 1007 patients with heart failure), and we included only drugs (loop diuretics, angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors,
blockers, spironolactone, and digoxin) that had been prescribed at least twice during the study.
Using postcodes of residence, we assigned a Carstairs deprivation category, from 1 (most affluent) to 5 (most deprived), to 294 112 patients (95.6% of total cohort).7
We used general
2 tests and
2 tests for trend, as appropriate, to compare the prevalence and incidence of heart failure and contact rates and prescribing data between deprivation categories. Multivariate logistic regression was used to examine the independent effects of age, sex, deprivation category, and general practitioner on prescriptions for each drug for heart failure. Using the drug of interest as the independent variable in a binary logistic regression model, we used a backward stepwise selection, with age, deprivation category, and general practitioner as the independent variables.
The prevalence of heart failure differed between deprivation categories (table), with a non-significant 13% trend towards higher age and sex standardised prevalence in the most deprived group. The incidence of heart failure significantly increased with increasing social deprivation: socioeconomically deprived patients were 44% more likely to develop heart failure than affluent patients. In contrast, patients in the most deprived group had 23% fewer follow up visits each year with their general practitioner (table). Although the age and sex standardised contacts differed significantly between the five strata, there was little difference between the four most affluent categories 1 to 4. However, the most deprived subgroup had significantly lower standardised contact rates compared with deprivation categories 1 to 4. Contact rates did not differ across age groups or by sex. Estimated mean survival rates were significantly lower in the most deprived group (table).
Prescribing data were available for all 1007 patients with heart failure in the 22 practices selected a priori. These patients had similar distributions for age, sex, and deprivation to the total sample of 2186 patients (data not shown). Diuretics were prescribed for 812 (80.6%) of these 1007 patients, angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors for 396 (39.3%),
blockers for 216 (21.4%), digoxin for 208 (20.7%), and spironolactone for 86 (8.5%). Both an angiotensin converting inhibitor and a
blocker were prescribed for 111 (11.0%) patients, and 13 (1.3%) were prescribed a combination of angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor,
blocker, and spironolactone. Prescribing patterns did not vary by deprivation category on bivariate or multivariate analyses. Wide discrepancies were found in prescribing between general practitioners; these disappeared after adjusting for patient characteristics. Deprivation category and general practitioner were not independently associated with prescriptions for angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors.
Although an increased incidence of heart failure in socioeconomically deprived people has not previously been reported, a US study showed an inverse association between incidence of heart failure and education.8 Our finding is not unexpected given data showing increased admissions to hospital for heart failure in deprived patients.1 3 Furthermore, as the risk factors for heart failure are more prevalent in socioeconomically deprived groups, it is plausible that the incidence of heart failure would be higher.9 10 Despite the noticeable gradient in incidence, there was only a trend towards differences in prevalence across the deprivation categories. This is not unexpected given that deprived patients with heart failure have higher case fatality rates and shorter survival times.3
Our finding that socially deprived individuals with heart failure have less ongoing contact with their general practitioners is novel, particularly as the limited data in this discipline suggest that socially deprived patients with heart failure have a worse functional status.11 12 Several potential factors may contribute to these lower consultation rates. Firstly, the behaviour of deprived groups when ill is substantially different, fatalism is more common, and non-professionals are often consulted for healthcare advice.4 Secondly, socially deprived patients may seek care in hospital emergency rooms rather than from primary care physicians.13 14 Thirdly, general practitioners may fail to offer regular follow up care. This is argued against by the comparable rates of prescribing across the social class spectrum. Although we do not know the consequences of less frequent follow up, other studies suggest that lack of contact may be important for patients with chronic diseases. A retrospective analysis from Canada found improved survival rates in patients with heart failure who were regularly followed by a physician (P Kaul, personal communication, 27 July 2003). Finally, a wealth of evidence shows that closer follow up of patients with heart failure leads to better outcomes.15
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We did not find any evidence of socioeconomic bias in general practitioners' prescribing patterns. Although we had no information on patient adherence, an earlier study did not find any differences in compliance with diuretics between deprived and affluent patients with heart failure.1
Our study had some limitations. Firstly, we had no independent confirmation of heart failure diagnoses or data on disease severity. It seems unlikely, however, that individual clinicians would apply different case definitions or diagnostic thresholds in patients of differing socioeconomic status. Secondly, we had no data on potential confounders related to cardiovascular risk factors, and these may vary substantially across socioeconomic gradients. Although this may account for the observed differences in incidence, it does not explain the socioeconomic gradients in contacts after diagnosis. Thirdly, we used postcode sector as a proxy for individual socioeconomic status.16 Finally, counting only those drugs that had been prescribed at least twice over 12 months may have increased data quality at the cost of underestimating prescribing rates. However, we were interested in chronic prescribing, and if there was any underestimation it is unlikely to have varied differentially between deprivation categories.
Although the incidence of heart failure diagnosed in general practice is significantly higher in socioeconomically deprived people, subsequent follow up is significantly less frequent. Although we found no evidence of socioeconomic bias in general practitioners' prescribing, it is likely that socioeconomic status may play more of a part in countries with healthcare systems that are not publicly funded.17 Regardless, our study has eliminated the prescribing bias hypotheses commonly cited as a potential explanation for the socioeconomic gradients in heart failure. Indeed, our data raise another potentially important explanation, that socioeconomically deprived patients may have poorer outcomes because they have less ongoing contact with their general practitioner.
This is the abridged version of an article that was posted on bmj.com on 23 April 2004: http://bmj.com/cgi/doi/10.1136/bmj.38043.414074.EE Funding: FMcA is supported by the Canadian Institutes of Health Research and the Alberta Heritage Foundation for Medical Research, SS is supported by the National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia and the National Heart Foundation of Australia, and NM is funded by the British Heart Foundation.
Competing interests: None declared.
Ethical approval: Not required.
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