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BMJ 2003;327:84 (12 July), doi:10.1136/bmj.327.7406.84
P B Jacklin, research fellow (health economics)1, J A Roberts, professor of economics of public health1, P Wallace, professor of primary care3, A Haines, professor of public health and primary care2, R Harrison, senior research fellow (telemedicine)3, J A Barber, lecturer in medical statistics4, S G Thompson, professor of biostatistics5, L Lewis, project manager6, R Currell, research and development officer6, S Parker, research nurse3, P Wainwright, senior lecturer6, the Virtual Outreach Project Group
1 Department of Public Health Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London WC1 7HT, 2 Dean's Office, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, 3 Department of Primary Care and Population Sciences, Royal Free and University College Medical School, London NW3 2PF, 4 University College Hospitals Research and Development Directorate, Hampstead Road, London NW1 2LT, 5 MRC Biostatistics Unit, Institute of Public Health, Cambridge CB2 2SR, 6 School of Health Science, University of Wales Swansea, Swansea SA2 8PP
Correspondence to: P B Jacklin paul.jacklin{at}lshtm.ac.uk
Design Cost consequences study alongside randomised controlled trial.
Setting Two hospitals in London and Shrewsbury and 29 general practices in inner London and Wales.
Participants 3170 patients identified; 2094 eligible for inclusion and willing to participate. 1051 randomised to virtual outreach and 1043 to standard outpatient appointments.
Main outcome measures NHS costs, patient costs, health status (SF-12), time spent attending index consultation, patient satisfaction.
Results Overall six month costs were greater for the virtual outreach consultations (£724 per patient) than for conventional outpatient appointments (£625): difference in means £99 ($162; €138) (95% confidence interval £10 to £187, P=0.03). If the analysis is restricted to resource items deemed "attributable" to the index consultation, six month costs were still greater for virtual outreach: difference in means £108 (£73 to £142, P < 0.0001). In both analyses the index consultation accounted for the excess cost. Savings to patients in terms of costs and time occurred in both centres: difference in mean total patient cost £8 (£5 to £10, P < 0.0001). Loss of productive time was less in the virtual outreach group: difference in mean cost £11 (£10 to £12, P < 0.0001).
Conclusion The main hypothesis that virtual outreach would be cost neutral is rejected, but the hypotheses that costs to patients and losses in productivity would be lower are supported.
A videoconferencing link avoids the need for all participants to be in the same place, while potentially offering the same benefits in communication. However, very little has been published on the cost effectiveness of teleconsultation"real time" consultations in which doctors and patients are separated geographically but communicate through the use of videoconferencing.4 This economic evaluation of the virtual outreach project, the largest reported randomised trial of teleconsultations, thus provides important new information.
Costs to the NHS
The economic evaluation focused on actual resources used. We derived a cost
for each patient for the index consultation and the six month follow up
period.
Index consultation
We costed the consultations to which patients were randomised by using an
"ingredients"
approach.7 The main
ingredients were capital and overhead costs, professionals' time, and
telephone line costs. We estimated professionals' time by using observation by
non-participants of a small sample of consultations selected
opportunistically. Table 1
gives the complete record for the timing of index consultations.
Table 2 summarises the
ingredients costs for each type of consultation.
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The cost of general practitioners' time, based on data compiled by Netten and Curtis,8 was £1.96 ($3.22; €2.73) a minute, including practice overheads and training costs. We estimated the cost of a minute of consultants' time as £2.90. To ensure comparability between general practitioner and consultant costs, we derived the cost of consultants' time by adding nursing and clinic costs supplied by the Royal Free Hampstead NHS Trust to Netten's figure of £1.82, which includes an allocation for secretarial support but not the overheads associated with running an outpatient clinic.
In addition to the normal overheads incorporated into the labour costs of general practitioners and consultants, new overheads are incurred by virtual outreach. We assigned these costs, which included rental of an ISDN line and installation of software, to individual consultations by dividing the total cost by the number of teleconsultations. A total of 889 teleconsultations took place in the virtual outreach project over 21 monthsapproximately 500 teleconsultations per year. We therefore divided the equivalent annual cost by 500 to derive a capital cost per consultation.
Prescription data
We collected prescription data and costs electronically from the
computerised record systems of general practices. We collected prescription
data for patients for the six months either side of the index consultation. We
deemed a prescription issued after the index consultation to be
"attributable" to the index consultation if the patient did not
receive the same named prescription in the six months before the index
consultation.
Tests, investigations, procedures, and contacts with healthcare
services
Using a standard form and coding system, research nurses collected data
from hospital and practice records on participants' use of NHS resources in
the six months after the index consultation. We assigned a unit cost to each
resource item (table 3). We
obtained these from 1999-2000 data from the Royal Free Hampstead NHS Trust,
the Royal Shrewsbury Hospital Trust, and NHS Reference Costs
2000,9 except
for the costs of consultations, which we derived from Netten and
Curtis.8 Much of the
use of resources over the six months was unrelated to the condition that led
to the patient's recruitment into the trial. We developed criteria for
identifying items of resource use that could be deemed to be attributable to
the index consultation specialtyfor example, a gastroscopy for a
patient referred to a gastroenterologist. We classified other non-specific
items as attributable if they occurred within four weeks of the index
consultation. We based all costs to the NHS on actual rather than prescribed
resource use, in order to reflect true clinical practice.
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Costs to the patient and impact on productivity
We used a postal questionnaire to collect data on the costs incurred by
patients as a direct result of their index appointment. We asked patients to
record any travel costs incurred by themselves or anyone accompanying them and
the time taken, including travel time, to attend the index consultation. We
also collected information about the impact on the paid work of patients and
anyone accompanying them. If any work time was lost, the questionnaire asked
about whether pay was reduced or whether anyone had taken annual leave. We
estimated productivity losses identified by using data from the New
Earnings
Survey.10
Statistical methods
The statistical analysis used for the economic evaluation followed a
prespecified plan based on the groups as randomised. We used t tests
to investigate differences in costs to the patient and the NHS between the two
arms of the
trial.11 We carried
out adjusted analyses by using multiple ordinary least squares regression with
adjustments for site (London or Shrewsbury), specialty (orthopaedics; urology;
ear, nose, and throat; gastroenterology; or other), age at randomisation, sex,
and baseline overall score on the Duke severity of illness
inventory.12 In
addition, we used tests of interaction to investigate whether the effect of
virtual outreach varied by site or specialty.
Sensitivity analysis is used to explore the robustness of results when uncertainty exists about the assumptions. In this trial, the key uncertainty concerned the costs of the index consultation. We therefore did one way sensitivity analysis on the key parameters associated with the index consultation.
Costs to the NHS
Index consultationTable
2 gives the costs for the virtual outreach consultations and
standard outpatient consultations. A total of 225 patients did not attend
their index consultation, 155 in the virtual outreach group and 70 in the
standard outpatient group. Assuming that the NHS did not incur any costs as a
result of the non-attendance of patients in the trial, the estimated mean cost
of a patient's index consultation was £164 in virtual outreach and
£32 in standard outpatients, a difference of £132
(table 4).
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Prescription costsWe found no significant differences between the costs in the two arms of the trial overall (table 4), nor by site or specialty. Basing the analysis on the subset of "attributable" prescriptions also failed to show any significant differences.
Costs of tests, investigations, and contacts with healthcare servicesWe divided the use of NHS resources in the six months after the index consultation into those associated with primary care visits and contacts, secondary care visits and contacts, and tests and procedures (tables 3 and 4). In none of these categories did a significant difference occur between the two arms of the trial, and this remained so after adjustment for baseline characteristics. As reported elsewhere,5 the number of tests was larger in the standard outpatients group, and this is reflected in the higher mean costs for tests and procedures.
Total NHS costsWe estimated the total mean costs to the NHS as £724 per patient in the virtual outreach group and £625 per patient in the standard outpatient group, a difference of £99 (95% confidence interval £10 to £187, P=0.03). When we restricted the analysis to "attributable" resource use (table 4), costs to the NHS were £393 per patient in the virtual outreach group and £286 per patient in the standard outpatient group. The mean difference of £108 (£73 to £142) was similar to that obtained for total resource use but was highly significant (P < 0.001). Adjustment for baseline characteristics did not greatly affect these results.
Costs to patients
A total of 1597 (77%) patients returned questionnaires777 (74%) in
the virtual outreach group and 820 (79%) in the standard outpatient group
(table 4). Patients in the
virtual outreach group incurred lower transport costs for the index
consultation than those in the standard outpatients group. The mean difference
in travel cost was £3.40 (P < 0.0001). In addition, mean childcare
costs arising from the index consultation were £0.37 (P=0.02) lower for
virtual outreach patients. The mean loss of pay for patients in the virtual
outreach group was £2.53 compared with a mean of £6.46 in the
standard outpatients group, a difference of £3.93 (P < 0.01). Total
patient costs were significantly lower in the virtual outreach arm, with a
mean difference of £7.70 (P < 0.0001).
Losses in productivity
On the basis of the time taken to attend the index consultation, potential
productivity was greater in the virtual outreach arm. The mean improvement was
£10.76 (£9.77 to £11.75, P < 0.0001) per patient. We
found little difference by site.
Consequences
The results in terms of health outcomes and health services outcomes have
been described
elsewhere.5 Contrary
to the central hypothesis that fewer follow up appointments would be needed in
the virtual outreach group, a significantly greater proportion of patients in
the virtual outreach group were offered a follow up appointment (intention to
treat analysis, 52% v 41%; odds ratio 1.52 (1.27 to 1.82), P <
0.0001). No difference in health outcomes occurred at six months according to
the physical and psychological scores of the SF-12 and child health
questionnaire. Patient satisfaction, measured with the Ware specific visit
questionnaire,14
was significantly higher in patients who had a virtual outreach
consultationdifference in means 0.33 (0.23 to 0.43), P < 0.0001. A
measure of the extent to which patients feel able to cope after a consultation
showed no significant differences between the two arms of the trial.
Sensitivity analysis
The results of the one way sensitivity analysis are given on
bmj.com. Virtual
outreach appointments remained more expensive in all scenarios. The magnitude
of the difference in costs was particularly sensitive to the duration of the
teleconsultation, reflecting the importance of clinicians' time.
We based the hypothesis that virtual outreach would not lead to increased costs to the NHS on the expectation that better patient management arising from improved communication would lead to "down-stream" savings. The results as presented here do not provide evidence that such savings exist. Although virtual outreach led to a significant reduction in tests and investigations,5 this resulted in only small downstream cost savings because the greatest difference between the two groups occurred in low cost routine tests. However, a six month follow up period may have been too short to enable us to detect such savings, as these would have to have been large to compensate for the additional costs of the index teleconsultation.
The "ingredients" based cost used could overestimate costs for several reasons. Firstly, the average cost of a virtual outreach consultation is in some respects an artefact of the trial, as the cost per consultation depends critically on the number of consultations.15 We included the marginal cost of a consultation to take this into account (table 2). Secondly, the technical failures of virtual outreach are likely to be a function of training, experience, and the state of technology; they could potentially be reduced, leading to more efficient use of physicians' time. Thirdly, ISDN lines and videoconferencing equipment had to be installed and purchased specifically for the purposes of the trial. In future, virtual outreach services would use existing facilities in the hospital and general practices. Finally, the problems of evaluating emerging telemedicine technology have been well documented.16 By evaluating the teleconsultations at a fixed point in time, we could not incorporate changes in quality or price of information technology and telecommunications equipment. The technology used in the trial was basic; the price of such equipment might fall, or subsequent technology may be more sophisticated and consequently more costly.
Patients attending a teleconsultation incurred significantly lower transport costs than did those attending conventional outpatient appointments, although the magnitude of the difference (£3) was relatively small. Also, patients in the virtual outreach group reported significantly shorter time off work than patients in the standard outpatient group. The trial results provide good evidence that virtual outreach consultations are less time consuming and cheaper for patients and are likely to have a positive impact on productivity.
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Considering total costs, little justification on economic grounds seems to exist for the adoption of virtual outreach. However, all the benefits may not have been recouped within the six month follow up period, and we did not estimate values of improved patient satisfaction. We may therefore have underestimated the beneficial consequences of virtual outreach. Furthermore, previous subanalysis showed that certain specialties may be more appropriate for virtual outreach than others,5 and improved selection of patients may also improve the relative cost effectiveness of virtual outreach.
This is an abridged
version; the full version is on
bmj.com
Members of the
project group and participating professionals appear on
bmj.com
We acknowledge the invaluable contribution made by all the participating clinicians and nursing, administrative, and management staff in both the London and Shrewsbury arms of the trial (see bmj.com). Ann Bowling and John Wynn Jones provided valuable input to the design of the study, and we thank Will Coppola for help with extraction of prescription data. The project office in London was staffed by Sandra Anglin, Emma Davies, and Rushmi Jayasurya, and that in Shrewsbury by Leo Lewis and Nerrys Lloyd. The WHO Office for Environment and Health, Rome, provided administrative support for P Wallace during the preparation of the manuscript.
Contributors: See bmj.com
Funding: NHS research and development health technology assessment programme, with additional contributions from BT and the MSD Foundation. The views and opinions expressed are those of the authors and do not necessary reflect those of the NHS Executive.
Competing interests: None declared. Neither BT nor the MSD Foundation had any influence over the design, execution, analysis, or interpretation of the study results.
Ethical approval: All the relevant local research ethics committees approved the study.
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