Two level hierarchical logistic regression model for upper gastrointestinal surgery in all 29 hospitals
Risk factor
Coefficient
Standard error
Odds ratio (95% CI)*
Age (per 10 year increase)
0.48
0.11
1.62 (1.28 to 1.99)
POSSUM score
0.77
0.17
2.16 (1.54 to 3.03)
POSSUM malignancy category
:
Primary only
0.27
0.37
1.35 (0.60 to 2.56)
Nodal disease
0.53
0.42
1.78 (0.70 to 3.64)
Metastatic disease
1.04
0.50
3.14 (1.06 to 7.16)
Mode of surgery
:
Emergency
0.57
0.37
1.78 (0.88 to 3.82)
Constant
7.24
0.96
Level 2 variance
0.26
0.16
*
Bias corrected bootstrap confidence intervals (10 000 iterations).
Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals are shown for every 10 year increase in age or 10 unit increase in POSSUM score.
Reference categories: no malignancy for POSSUM malignancy category; elective surgery for mode of surgery.