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BMJ No 7119 Volume 315 Papers Saturday 22 November 1997
Effectiveness of a regional trauma system in reducing mortality from major trauma: before and after studyJon Nicholl, Janette Turner See Editorial by Yates, p 1321 AbstractObjective: To assess the effect of the development of an experimental trauma centre and regional trauma system on the survival of patients with major trauma.Design: Controlled before and after study examining outcomes between 1990 and 1993, spanning the introduction of the system in 1991-2. Setting: Trauma centre in North Staffordshire Royal Infirmary and five associated district general hospitals in the North West Midlands regional trauma system, and two control regions in Lancashire and Humberside. Subjects: All trauma patients taken by the ambulance services serving the regions or arriving other than by ambulance with injury severity scores >15, whether or not they had vital signs on arrival at hospital. Main outcome measures: Survival rates standardised for age, severity of injury, and revised trauma score. Results: In 1990, 33% of major trauma patients in the experimental region were taken to the trauma centre, and by 1993 this had risen to only 39%. Crude death rates changed by the same amount in the control regions (46.5% in 1990-1 to 44.4% in 1992-3) as in the experimental region (44.8% to 41.3%). After standardisation, the estimated change in the probability of dying in the experimental region compared with the control regions was -0.8% per year (95% confidence interval -3.6% to 2.2%); for out of hours care, the change was 1.6% per year (-2.3% to 5.6%), and, for multiply injured patients, the change was -1.6% (-6.1% to 2.6%). Conclusion: Any reductions in mortality from regionalising major trauma care in shire areas of England would probably be modest compared with reports from the United States. IntroductionA working party of the Royal College of Surgeons of England found "significant deficiencies in the management of seriously injured patients," most notably that up to 33% of the deaths of 514 patients with major trauma admitted to hospitals' accident and emergency departments could have been avoided.(1) It recommended that accident and emergency services for the care of major trauma patients in Britain should be reorganised so that such patients would be transferred to regional trauma centres conceived along the lines of the American model,(2) which was widely reported as reducing avoidable trauma deaths, particularly for patients with multiple injuries.(3-6) In this model a number of key elements were identified by the American College of Surgeons - such as 24 hour reception in emergency departments by senior staff, all key specialties in the treatment of trauma care on the same site, a high volume of seriously injured patients (about 10-20 a week), and a system to ensure that seriously injured patients would be treated in the trauma centre.(2) In order to assess whether this concept would transfer cost effectively into the British setting, the Department of Health funded the establishment and evaluation of an experimental regional trauma system in the North West Midlands region based around the North Staffordshire Royal Infirmary. The nascent regional system covered an area of about 6000 km2 with a catchment population of 1.8 million and was served by five other district general hospitals' accident and emergency departments and three ambulance services (see table 1).
This paper concentrates on the benefits from the system in terms of survival from major trauma. Detailed results on other patient groups, avoidable deaths, outcomes for survivors, and costs will be reported elsewhere. MethodsDesign We obtained approval for our observational study from the appropriate ethics committees. The design and progress of the study were overseen by an advisory group convened by the Department of Health. Inclusion criteria Outcomes Details recorded All injuries from the regions were coded by four researchers, with advice from a fifth (JT) for difficult cases. The injury coders attended several one-day training sessions on coding injuries, organised with the help of the coordinator of the major trauma outcome study, that were designed to ensure, as far as possible, consistency in scoring between the researchers. Agreement between researchers was assessed during the study. Statistical methods For the indirect standardisation, we used three different methods: using strata derived from age, injury severity scores, and revised trauma scores (which are based on the Glasgow coma score, respiratory rate, and systolic blood pressure); using the TRISS method(9); or using the death rates observed within the study for all data combined. Patients with injury severity scores of 75 (of whom 0/129 survived) or revised trauma scores of 0 (1/283 survived) could not contribute to examining differences in survival and were excluded from comparisons of standardised mortality ratios. For the TRISS method, we calculated expected numbers of deaths using the British norms for blunt injuries from the major trauma outcome study(10) and American rates for the few cases of penetrating injury (British norms were not available). When using the TRISS method, we also had to exclude patients with missing age (n=5) or missing revised trauma scores (n=873/2229) from comparisons of standardised mortality ratios. To calculate standardised mortality ratios based on internally derived standard death rates, we used strata defined by three categories of injury severity scores (16-24, 25-40, and 41-74), two age groups (0-64 and 65 and over), and five categories of revised trauma scores (0-5.79, 5.97-6.82, 6.90-7.55, 7.84, and missing). We estimated differences in trends between regions by fitting equivalent logistic regression models to the proportions of deaths, using injury severity scores, age group (0-44, 45-64, 65-74, or 75 and over), and revised trauma scores (including a missing data category) as covariates. The same models were also fitted without revised trauma scores, as has been recommended(11) in order to examine the robustness of the estimate obtained by including the "missing" category for revised trauma scores. ResultsDevelopment of the trauma system Numbers of patients with major trauma
Processes of care
In the trauma centre's accident and emergency department the
proportion of major trauma patients attended first by a consultant rose
from 28% in 1990 to 70% in 1993 (table 4), whereas this never
exceeded 24% in other hospitals in the experimental region or in the
control regions. There was also a small increase in the proportion of
patients admitted to the intensive care unit, but no change in the
length of time from arrival in accident and emergency to an operation
for those who had an operation within 24 hours.
Deaths from major trauma
Using a multiple logistic regression model including age, injury
severity scores, and revised trauma scores, we estimated that the
annual change from 1990 in the probability of dying in the experimental
region compared with the control regions was -0.8% (95% confidence
interval -3.6% to 2.2%) for all major trauma patients, 1.6%
(-2.3% to 5.6%) for patients seen out of hours, and -1.6%
(-6.1% to 2.6%) for patients with multiple injuries. Using the
model including only age and injury severity scores, we estimated that
the relative annual change in the probability of dying in the
experimental region for all major trauma patients was -0.2%
(-2.9% to 2.7%).
In a unique prospective experimental study, carried out by
an independent research team, we investigated whether funding a good
accident and emergency department in order to provide facilities for a
regional trauma centre and encouraging the development of a trauma
system could improve survival from major trauma. The processes of care
did change in several ways, but there was no evidence of any
significant improvement in the chance of major trauma patients
surviving compared with control regions. Several questions are raised
by these findings: are they reliable, and if they are, why do they
differ from indicative results from the United States, and how
generalisable are they?
Reliability The control areas in this study were selected because they were similar
in size and characteristics to the experimental area at the start of
the period of evaluation and could therefore be expected to be subject
to the same influences. This means that, at the outset, each control
region also included a central hospital with a large, high quality
accident and emergency department. However, we have not compared the
outcomes of patients treated in these hospitals but trends in the
outcomes of all major trauma occurring in the regions they help serve.
These comparisons of regional trends were made more reliable by
ensuring that there were as few pre-existing differences as possible.
The question of whether the "before" and "after" phases clearly
represent periods before and after the development of a central trauma
system is less clear. At the start of the study period, in January
1990, some efforts had already been made at the North Staffordshire
Royal Infirmary to involve the surrounding hospitals in an integrated
approach to managing major trauma in the region. Equally, at the end of
the study in December 1993, developments were still taking place.
Nevertheless, substantial investment and change did not take place
until mid-1991, when staffing and resources in the accident and
emergency department and intensive care unit were increased, and these
developments were completed during 1992. Thus the study does clearly
span a period of rapid change in the resources available for the care
of patients with serious injuries.
With regard to the accuracy of our data, in 1993 the internal
audit at the North Staffordshire Royal Infirmary recorded 123 major
trauma patients being taken directly to the hospital, but we identified
only 98. This difference arose principally because of differences in
assigning scores on the abbreviated injury scale and differences in
inclusion criteria. For example, we included only those patients
brought in directly by the three ambulance services included in the
study, or indirectly from the satellite hospitals in the experimental
region. The methods we used for scoring patients' injuries produced
better agreement between the researchers who coded injuries than has
previously been reported in Britain(13) (agreement on injury
severity scores 41% versus 28%,(13) disagreement
on injury severity scores >15 17.5% versus
19-24%(13)) and were applied consistently by the same
researchers over the four years of the study in order to minimise bias
in the comparisons.
The power of our study to detect a relative decline of four deaths per
100 major trauma patients admitted with vital signs to the trauma
centre per year was only 50%, and this raises the question of how much
reliance can be put on the finding of no significant effect. The
results, however, are consistent with the facts that there has been no
relative decline in the case fatality rate among casualties from road
traffic accidents in the experimental region compared with the control
regions(14); there were only small changes in the processes
of care; and the small effect detected was not specific to or different
in those groups in which it would have been expected to be
greatest - patients seen out of hours, and multiply injured patients.
Generalisability However, it is generally accepted that such systems can reduce
mortality. We suggest that there are two broad groups of reasons why we
could find no evidence of effectiveness in our study. Firstly, the
trauma system in the North West Midlands region did not develop into a
comprehensive regionalised system. Thus, for example, by the end of our
study, the objective of "getting the right patient to the right
hospital at the right time"(22) had not been achieved.
Secondly, trauma epidemiology is so different in kind and volume in
Britain compared with the United States that there is no reason to
expect that American solutions should translate directly to Britain.
For example, penetrating injuries cause less than 5% of major trauma
in Britain(10) but typically cause over 20% of cases in the
United States,(16) and in the whole of the North West
Midlands region there were only six major trauma patients taken to
hospitals each week.
The benefits from developing regional trauma systems in shire areas of
England are probably modest, therefore, compared with reports from the
United States. However, we evaluated only one model of regional trauma
care, in only one setting, and that system was not fully developed.
Thus, greater benefits might be found with trauma systems in other
environments, such as metropolitan conurbations, or if greater
integration in the whole process of trauma care could be achieved.
Nevertheless, our results cast some doubt on the benefits of adopting a
national policy of regionalising trauma care along the lines of the
American model.
Contributing authors: Brian Williams, John Brazier (study
design); Sylvia Bickley, Patricia Myers, Neil Beeby, Marita Lunn (data
collection); Simon Dixon (health economics).
We are grateful to the staff at the North Staffordshire
Royal Infirmary, who cooperated so wholeheartedly: Professor J
Templeton, Mr D McGeehan, Dr P Morrison, Dr P Oakley, Mr I Phair, Mr M
Prescott, Professor A Redmond, Miss A Cook, Mr S Davies, and Mrs D
Griffiths. We are grateful for the help and cooperation of the accident
and emergency consultants at the other hospitals in the trauma system
and comparator regions: Mr S Al-Atrakchi, Mr J Bache, Mr T George, Mr N
Goel, Mr S Goode, Dr J Gosnold, Mr P Grout, Mr N Harrop, Mr M Hockey,
Mr M James, Mr A Kumar, Mr A Leaman, Mr A Lester, Mr M McColl, Dr R
McGlone, and Mr F O'Dwyer. We also thank the coroners offices in each
of the three regions for their help and support.
Funding: This work was undertaken by the Medical Care Research
Unit, which is supported by the Department of Health. The views
expressed here are those of the authors and not necessarily those of
the department.
(Accepted 21 October 1997)
Medical Care Research Unit,
Correspondence to: Professor Jon
Nicholl
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