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BMJ No 7107 Volume 315 Saturday 30 August 1997 This Week in BMJ | Editor's Choice | Press releases
Editorials 497 Improving the health of the world's poor Davidson R Gwatkin, Patrick Heuveline 498
The trouble with bone allograft
499
Consumer participation in research and health care
500
Adverse drug reactions: finding the needle in the haystack
News
501
Hospital waiting lists grow by 13%
Papers
505
Randomised, double blind, placebo controlled clinical trial of efficacy
of vitamin A treatment in non-measles childhood pneumonia
510
Acute upper gastrointestinal haemorrhage in west of Scotland:
case ascertainment study
514
Water fluoridation, tooth decay in 5 year olds, and social deprivation
measured by the Jarman score: analysis of data from British dental
surveys
518
Electronic monitoring of vaccine cold chain in a metropolitan area
519
Reporting of adverse drug reactions by hospital pharmacists: pilot
scheme
General practice
520
Prescribing behaviour in clinical practice: patients' expectations and
doctors' perceptions of patients' expectations - a questionnaire study
Information in practice
524
The diabetes audit and research in Tayside Scotland (DARTS) study:
electronic record linkage to create a diabetes register
529
Netlines
529
Netpoints: Piloting patient attitudinal
surveys on the web
Clinical review 530 Fortnighly review: Stress, the brain, and mental illness J Herbert 536
ABC of mental health: Mental health on the margins
539
Corrections: ABC of mental health: Mental health emergencies
ABC of mental health: Addiction and dependence - I: Illicit drugs
540
How to read a paper: Papers that report diagnostic or screening tests
544
Intensive insulin treatment after acute myocardial infarction in
diabetes mellitus
545
Breast cancer risk with cyst type in cystic disease of the breast
546
General practitioners' workload in primary care led NHS
547
Data on health economics of pulmonary rehabilitation programmes are
needed
547
GPs' perceptions of tolerability of selective serotonin reuptake
inhibitors and tricyclic antidepressants
548
Anonymity for unrelated bone marrow donors should remain
549
Diagnosing and managing polymyalgia rheumatica and temporal arteritis
550
Doctors should be trained in lifting patients
551
Cognitive dysfunction may complicate assessment of pain in elderly
patients
551
EU directive on bovine spongiform encephalopathy will not affect drugs
551
Obstructive sleep apnoea
552
M G Roberts, A T Roddie, B M A
Rogers, R H Rushton, D G Scott
Soundings
553
A longer view
553 A doctor's dilemma
554 Publish and be damned?
555 Injured Brains of Medical Minds. Views from Within
Questioning the Solution: The Politics of Primary Health
Care and Child Survival
556
"The world's health transition" is the term given to this
shift of emphasis, and it is, as Davidson Gwatkin and Patrick Heuveline
remind us in their editorial, associated with reductions in fertility
and improvements in overall health (p 497). Nevertheless, their main
message is that if we care about the world's poor then communicable
diseases among the young remain as important as ever. "Any shift in
emphasis ... would move away from problems that are
most important for the poor towards those that are more important for
the better off."
A reminder of the scale of the problem comes on p 505 from Luis Nacul
and colleagues' randomised controlled trial of vitamin A in childhood
pneumonia in north east Brazil. In the developing world acute
respiratory infections are the leading cause of mortality in young
children, accounting for 30% of all deaths, with pneumonia the main
cause of death. They reasoned that since high doses of vitamin A are
effective in reducing case fatality and severity in cases of childhood
measles complicated by pneumonia they might also be effective in
pneumonia not associated with measles. Unfortunately, vitamin A added
to standard treatment for pneumonia had no effect over placebo on the
immediate outcome of pneumonia in this population of children (who had
only marginal vitamin A deficiency).
An intervention that does work and that seems to matter more to
the poor than the rich is fluoridation. C M Jones and colleagues
studied tooth decay in three areas in Britain in the 1990s: one with
natural fluoridation, one with artificial fluoridation, and one with no
fluoridation (p 514). As expected, tooth decay was higher in deprived
wards in all these areas, but fluoridation had an extra effect: in
wards with the national mean deprivation score fluoridation produced a
44% reduction in decay, but in those with very high deprivation
scores it produced a 54% reduction.
And finally, a good bit of teaching: anyone to whom a two by two table
does not come naturally should read Trisha Greenhalgh's "How to read
a paper" article this week (p 540). Her story of 10 men in the dock
(three guilty, seven innocent, but two of the truly guilty and four of
the truly innocent convicted) tells you all you need to know to work
out sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative
predictive value, and accuracy. You'll have to read on for the
likelihood ratio however - an even better measure of the usefulness of a
test.
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